I can’t find it in myself to like Ser Arys Oakheart, or feel sad for him. I just finished the chapter (SPOILERS) where Arianne’s rebellion fails. I know I’m supposed to feel pity for Oakheart. He was just trying to make his two girls happy —Myrcella by keeping her happy and Arianne by helping her with her plan. When Hotah catches Arianne’s little cadre in the act, Oakheart does what I suppose is considered the honorable thing according to the songs and tales of Westeros and sticks with his side, sacrificing himself clearly in a vain attempt to save what, if anything, could be saved of Arianne’s machinations.
Here’s the thing though, Oakheart should have spent more time polishing Arianne’s plans in whatever way he could. Gathering what little support he could or just…I don’t know…doing more than whatever Arianne did like the lovesick puppy he was. After all, what was at stake was his life, his love (err the person Oakheart loved) and Myrcella, his raison d’être. Instead though Oakheart just followed Arianne’s lead and got himself killed.
I had actually hoped that Oakheart was smarter than he was and actually tipped off Hotah and Prince Doran to Arianne’s scheme. Alas no, he just turned out to be a fool and not in the romantic sense, in the dumb sense. It’s just all really aggravating.
On the larger issue in question though, whether a war between Dorne and the Iron Throne would be a good thing I think it’s impossible to say. Right now King’s Landing is pretty weak and distracted with other conflicts so Dorne, which has stayed out of the fighting up till now, could probably survive. On the other hand, there’s no telling who would turn out to be the victor in the end. The sense I got from the Dorne chapters up till here is that the hunger for war among the Dornishmen is not at all thought out and more about a longstanding desire for revenge. It just doesn’t seem that smart.