Up on the LOOG mainpage, Elias Isquith asks “Is Mitt Romney the luckiest guy in the country?”
Well, Romney’s been the frontrunner since 2009 [if not 1968], so all this is really no surprise. Texas Gov. Rick Perry was the wild card, but it wasn’t even certain he’d get in: good record and exp on paper, but few had even heard him speak. And when he did, even before the debates, it was like, ewwww! His best day as a candidate was his first, and that was that.
We also forget that it was Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels who was the shoe-in: not much to look at, but a popular and successful 2-term governor, moderate enough for the general, articulate as hell, and according to even The New York Times, “a fiscally focused, budget-cutting, pragmatic-thinking conservative.”
But as we see from the Cain thing [and we’ve always suspected there was something in 1992 Dem shoe-in Mario Cuomo’s closet as well, haven’t we?], Daniels made the right decision to keep his family’s troubles away from the public enema. [If you haven’t heard that sad sad story, well, that’s exactly why and because Daniels didn’t run.]
[Look for him as VP, though; it’s been a custom to go easier on VP candidates.]
Newt still has a snowball’s chance, if the GOP would rather go down in a blaze of glory than nominate and lose with a passionless technocrat instead. Newt Gingrich would dismantle Barack Obama in debate, although I doubt that even so, he could not overcome the poisoned well that is his past [most, but not all his own fault] to win the general election.
[Then again, it would be nigh impossible to have calculated the constellation of forces that put the even more unappetizing Dick Nixon into the White House in 1968. I still marvel at that one, even knowing what we know now.]
Mr. Isquith further muses that Barack Obama might be the luckiest guy in the country, to face such pale opposition. I think he’s probably right, but for different reasons:
What were the odds that long-buried evidence of a domestic abuse incident would surface and fell his shoe-in Democratic primary opponent in 2004?
What were the odds that long-buried evidence of a marital sex scandal would fell his shoe-in Republican opponent in 2004 too, all enabling a successful presidential run a scant 4 years later?
And now, the GOP’s Only Black Guy tripped up in much the same fashion? No, he wasn’t getting the nomination, but either as a VP, a campaign soldier or merely as a beard against the GOP/racism slime, Herman Cain is an asset to the Republican Party.
Or at least, Herman Cain was an asset to the Republican Party: not no more, he ain’t. A one-way ticket to Palookaville now, and a drag on the GOP. If they bail on him, they’re the Mandingo racists they always were, threatened by “black sexuality.” If they do get his back, they’re just tribalist partisan robot idiots.
The Cain Factor has been zeroed out, and worse: the GOP is screwed coming or going. If not for the presidency itself, Herman Cain was a contender for the Republican Party, he could have been somebody. Instead of a bum, which let’s face it, he now is.
Barack Obama remains lucky—it just boggles the mind, the coincidences and all. Fate. Kismet. Or…?