LoOG compatriot Elias shares the scuttlebutt:
From Washington Blade:
White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said on Friday he wouldn’t rule “in or out” the possibility of President Obama endorsing same-sex marriage in the upcoming State of the Union address.
Carney made the remarks on whether Obama would announce support for marriage equality during the State of the Union address, which is set to take place Tuesday before a joint session of Congress, in response to a question from the Washington Blade.
“I will not rule anything in or out,” Carney said. “I’m just not going to talk about — beyond pointing at his words — his personal views on this. I think his administration’s policies on related issues are there for people to judge.”
Well, I think this would be grand. And I can’t imagine why Carney would give such a flagrantly transparent non-answer if he doesn’t plan on doing so. He could just as easily have said “the President will be speaking about his efforts to put more Americans back to work” or something anodyne but obviously meant to communicate “no.” So it certainly makes me a little bit hopeful.
But I’m still skeptical. While polls now show a slim majority of Americans favoring marriage equality, those Americans aren’t evenly distributed. I don’t have the data, but I suspect things tend toward the traditional in some important swing states. It seems like a hornet’s nest that he doesn’t need to poke. Maybe he hopes to further weaken Mitt Romney by making Rick Santorum slightly less irrelevant? Plus, I wonder if it might do more harm than good down-ticket.
So, this week’s question is straight-up armchair punditry — will he or won’t he? I’m laying odds 3:2 against. As a follow-up question, what are your guesses for audience reaction? I’d expect the usual stony-faced Republican reception, with just about zero GOP MOCs standing and applauding, and maybe even some boos. (Wouldn’t surprise me at all.) But what proportion of Democrats do you think will leap up and cheer? I know it’s a fun drinking game to take a shot every time roughly 50% of the audience cheers like there’s no tomorrow, and the other half acts like they’re about to get a tetanus shot. But it would be a (heartening) surprise if the Democrats uniformly support this one. I’m guessing your liver will be safe, at least for a little while.