Yesterday, we drove to the Better Half’s hometown for a family birthday party. He’s from the state where we currently reside, though his hometown is in a different area.
Our state is pretty reliably blue. Nate Silver scores it (at the time of this writing) as 99.3% likely to vote for Obama on November 6. The area where we live right now is very liberal, but the Better Half’s ancestral home is in a much more conservative spot.
As we drove to and from the gathering (and I can now add “helped deflate a moon bounce” to my list of lifetime accomplishments), I made note of the candidate signs in people’s yards. And I observed something interesting, though I have no idea how predictive the observation is.
There were zero signs of Mitt Romney. Zero. The only lawn sign I’ve seen for Romney in my state is half a mile down the road from where I live, and it’s been there for months, so it clearly belongs to someone who was in the tank for Romney way back during primary season.
Now, perhaps this relates to the fact that Romney is almost certainly not going to carry the state, and people just can’t be bothered to voice support for a candidate that won’t win our electoral votes. But there were a decent number of signs for the Republican candidate for the Senate, who is also quite likely to lose. None of the houses with signs for the GOP Senate candidate had a Romney sign. Nada.
This is a socially conservative part of the state. (We passed a church sign expressing opposition to the upcoming marriage equality referendum, sadly not a big surprise to me.) These are the people who, nationwide, I would imagine Romney needs to be firmly on his side.
I don’t have any illusions that my car-view political science is all that valuable. Perhaps I am merely confirming my own suspicions about the Romney campaign, a slow-motion train wreck in support of a candidate I detest. Feel free to tell me you think this is all a bunch of nothing, and I’ll be hard-pressed to disagree. But it still struck me as interesting enough to share.