Domestic Politics
Bride And Groom Are Back
I was quite astonished a while back to find someone who actually thought that taking the words “bride” and “groom” off a marriage license application meant that there was no long any such thing as marriage in California. (What about… Continue Reading
Chart Adjustment
Today’s charts on fivethirtyeight.com look like this. That’s Obama winning somewhere close to 9 in 10 of the random simulations, and functionally all of the realistic ones. It’s hard to not be disheartened when numbers like this are out there.… Continue Reading
Proposition 8 Polling
Eugene Volokh posts a reminder that polling on Proposition 8 is still volatile. A recent Survey USA poll shows Prop. 8 ahead; the Field Poll still says otherwise. Prof. Volokh wonders if the recent advertisement featuring Gavin Newsom making provocative… Continue Reading
When The World Doesn’t End After All, You Can Still Rely On Self-Affirming Cognitve Dissonance
In 1954, a woman in Minnesota claimed that aliens had told her that on December 20 of that year, all of civilization would be wiped out in a catastrophic global flood. The story of how that woman attracted a cult… Continue Reading
Coattails
Things are looking really, really good for Camp Obama right now. Fivethirtyeight.com is projecting an Obama win in 87.4% of its randomized sample elections. That’s seven out of eight. Intrade is a bit more moderate in its projection — you… Continue Reading
Lawyers In High Office
Something I read in this post made me wonder – could that really be true? Prof. Kalt writes: Republicans tend to put non-lawyers on their tickets: going back to 1984, seven of their nine candidates were not lawyers; only Dole… Continue Reading
Bet You Couldn’t Have Seen This One Coming
I didn’t watch the Joe and Sarah show tonight. Instead, I went out to dinner with lawyers in my firm and my wife tonight instead. I heard about three minutes on NPR and Palin didn’t sound like a fool —… Continue Reading
Just A Bit Over The Top
…You know, I can understand supporting your candidate. But this is a bit creepy.
Battlegrounds Shift
Fivethirtyeight.com is showing this as today’s average projected outcome map for the election: Somewhat dispiriting for the GOP. I mean, Indiana — a dead heat. Indiana — the home of Dan Quayle and the highest per-capita NRA membership east of… Continue Reading