Bond Songs
And here’s the results of the James Bond Theme Song poll: Song Artist Votes Live And Let Die Paul McCartney 6 Nobody Does It Better Carly Simon 5 For Your Eyes Only Sheena Easton 4 Goldfinger Shirley Bassey 3 Another… Continue Reading
Polls
Socially Conservative Black Voters
In a comment a few days ago, a Reader asked if my observation about Black voters causing Prop. 8 to pass can legitimately be expanded to say that such people are actually socially conservative. The metric, it was suggested, was… Continue Reading
Post Election Poll Results
Like most of you Readers, by far the biggest surprise I had on election night was seeing Prop. 8 pass. I’d like to thank the one Reader who was most surprised by my loss of a bottle of Scotch —… Continue Reading
Battleground States
In the quick pre-election poll, I asked Readers which battleground states Obama would carry. The results: State NAPP ReaderPrediction Actual Result Florida 62% Obama Indiana 37% Obama Missouri 25% No decision yetMcCain Montana 12% McCain Nevada 62% Obama North Carolina… Continue Reading
Poll Anticipates Narrow Defeat For Proposition 8
Andrew Sullivan reports a very recent poll showing 50.0% of Californias to vote “no” on Prop. 8 and 45.4% to vote “yes.” This will be too close to call tonight, I’m sure of it.
How To Make Things Better
I’m surprised that an actual majority of NAPP poll respondents thought that the way to make things better, faster, is to get back on the gold standard. That does not seem like particularly serious thinking to me — control over… Continue Reading
The Upcoming Narrowing Of The Polls
National polls show Obama leading right now by anywhere from four to ten points, with the average being a 6.8% advantage. This spells doom for my bet of a bottle of good Scotch. But on the other hand, the conventional… Continue Reading
Chart Adjustment
Today’s charts on fivethirtyeight.com look like this. That’s Obama winning somewhere close to 9 in 10 of the random simulations, and functionally all of the realistic ones. It’s hard to not be disheartened when numbers like this are out there.… Continue Reading
Proposition 8 Polling
Eugene Volokh posts a reminder that polling on Proposition 8 is still volatile. A recent Survey USA poll shows Prop. 8 ahead; the Field Poll still says otherwise. Prof. Volokh wonders if the recent advertisement featuring Gavin Newsom making provocative… Continue Reading
Coattails
Things are looking really, really good for Camp Obama right now. Fivethirtyeight.com is projecting an Obama win in 87.4% of its randomized sample elections. That’s seven out of eight. Intrade is a bit more moderate in its projection — you… Continue Reading