I’ve been frustrated with the Dodgers’ slumping trend for a long time. My annual heartbreak seems to have arrived early, starting with a powerful slump that began a month ago. Thanks to lackluster batting in the clutch, the trends put Los Angeles at serious risk of missing the post-season completely.
At the way the NL West is breaking down, the trend is for the Colorado Rockies to win the division by five games. Right now my projections for the three top teams in the West are as follows:
| Colorado | 98 | 64 |
| Los Angeles | 93 | 69 |
| San Francisco | 92 | 70 |
If that comes exactly true, Los Angeles beats out San Francisco for the wild card spot by a single game. I’ve not done projections for Florida or Atlanta, but they’re in the wild-card hunt, too.
Since this is a statistical exercise, the margin of error is likely to be higher than one game. Point is, as hard as it is to sustain winning six out of every ten, the Dodgers need to do even better than that from here on out if they want to make sure they’ll play more than four games in October.
